03-11-2023 Technical Update DJI & S&P500

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The DJIA staged a brutal outside week down and closed on the bottom of the weeks range, down -4.44%. Prices decidedly cleared the December lows and met a longer-term wave count objective at 32192/32170…settling below that level on the daily/weekly. The hourly chart is extremely oversold with the close on Friday and the …

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03-04-2023 Technical Update DJIA & S&P500

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The DJIA staged an upside reversal week and settled in the top of the weekly range, up +1.75% on the week. The market tested the last major wave lows on the daily, set back in December, before reversing with a strong performance to finish out the week on Friday. The hourly has reached …

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Technical Update 02-12-2023 DJIA & S&P500

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The DJIA traded a narrow, inside week and settled slightly lower…closing down -0.17% toward the middle of the week’s range. The action does little to the charts as the Dow has basically been stuck in a trading range since the wide range of December 22, 2022.  Sentiment remains neutral with a slight bias …

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Technical Update 02-05-2023 DJI & S&P500

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The DJIA traded a whipsaw week and closed down -0.15% as the blue chips once again lagged the S&P, Nasdaq and Russell…which closed up +1.62, +3.31 and +3.88 respectively. Sentiment remains slightly neutral while momentum indicators have turned toward ‘greed’ with the 52-week high/low reaching an extremely frothy +2.90 on last Friday’s close. …

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Technical Update 01-28-2023 DJIA & S&P500

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The DJIA traded an inside week and settled in the upper end of the weekly range, closing out the week with an advance of +1.8%. The Dow continued to lag the S&P, Nasdaq and Russell which had stronger intraweek performances. Sentiment is leaning toward greed again and the 52-week new highs/lows closed at …

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01-22-2023 Technical Update DJIA & S&P

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The DJIA traded lower all week and ended down 2.7% in the lower half of the weekly range. Last week was a mix of layoff announcements and political maneuvering over the US debt limit. The tech and secondary markets performed much better than the blue chips, with the Nasdaq actually eking out modest …

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12-18-2022 Soybeans

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Spot soybeans have been in an up channel since setting lows in critical timing in early October. The daily spot chart has been flashing a preliminary bearish divergence with the past two weeks’ highs at 1492.25 and open-interest has been creeping slightly higher during this period. Nearby JAN soybeans (SF23) have been in …

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Stock Market Update 12-04-2022

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The major market indices have been in a schism since the summer lows. For decades now, the consensus axiom is to ‘never fade the blue chips.’ That said, the past years have proven that absolutely nothing adheres to ‘norms’ with fund managers continuously underperforming the general indices. The Dow Jones has continued to …

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10-04-2022 US Dollar Update

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS The US Dollar has nose-dived and spiked off the recent highs after prices pulled up just shy of the long-term monthly targets outlined in the last update at 11676/11939. The current intraday high print is 11477, set last Wednesday, and since then the market has swooned…retracing over 62% of the rally off the …

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10-02-2022 Soybeans

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS November soybeans (SX22) took a dive late last week to carry the contract to the lowest levels since early August. As the now lead contract on the weekly continuation, SX22 has taken spot prices to the lowest levels since mid-January of this year. The sharp breakdown on the weekly spot chart is opening …

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